Lisa's Hurricane Predictions
When I first heard about Chris way back when he was an infant sprung from the loins of the eastern Atlantic, but now # 3 on this year's Tropical Trouble Hit Parade, my gut immediately told me that we would not have to worry about him. Why? Well, as I said, part of it is my gut. The other reason is because he only has one syllable in his name. It just doesn't pack a punch.
If you look back at the records, there have only been four storms with a one-syllable name to attain anything beyond Category 2 when they made landfall in the U.S. The first was Hurricane King back in 1950. He was the third storm on record that was given a name and I suppose he had something to live up to. Never mind that his predecessor, Hurricane Easy made landfall as a Cat 3 despite its name. Easy. Two syllables. The other monosyllabic Cat 3 storms were Fran, Bret and Jeanne. Now I don't know about the girls, but I'd never have pegged a storm named Bret to be of any consequence. And, in fact, despite being a Cat 3, he caused so little damage that his name wasn't even retired. He'll show up again in 2011.
Now, I heard something else while at the salon today. According to one of the same chatty pair of women referenced in today's other post, the Farmer's Almanac predicted two major hurricanes for the Gulf last year, one of them within days of when You Know Who struck. The women were impressed. The Farmer's Almanac also has an article explaining how to predict weather using a pig spleen.
As for the remainder of this season, NOAA predicts that we'll name 13-16 storms this season, with 10 of those becoming hurricanes and 4-6 of those hitting Category 3 or higher. So, using my Syllable + Gut Theory, and the remaining storm names, here's my prediction:
- Ernesto-hmmm...I used to work with a guy named Ernesto...watch out for this one.
- Florence- there's something about her...she sounds like someone's spinster aunt, but I think she may have a stiletto on her lap, under the afghan she's knitting.
- Helene and Oscar might give us some pause, and may even come close, real close to dangerous, but maybe not Cat 3 (which is why they're not bolded and not as red.)
- Isaac Nadine Rafael have real potential.
- And if there's going to be a one syllable killer, it's going to be Joyce.
That's my prediction. I figure I have as much chance of being right as if I'd used a pig spleen.